Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.002338 0.002474 0.002619 0.002786 0.002974 0.003180 0.003425
2025-03-16 0.002173 0.002367 0.002585 0.002852 0.003175 0.003560 0.004065
2025-03-23 0.002049 0.002279 0.002549 0.002896 0.003342 0.003915 0.004741
2025-03-30 0.001922 0.002169 0.002468 0.002867 0.003403 0.004135 0.005282
2025-04-06 0.001799 0.002051 0.002362 0.002788 0.003381 0.004229 0.005654
2025-04-13 0.001714 0.001972 0.002297 0.002752 0.003409 0.004391 0.006170
2025-04-20 0.001596 0.001844 0.002159 0.002604 0.003256 0.004254 0.006126
2025-04-27 0.001548 0.001802 0.002128 0.002601 0.003315 0.004455 0.006762
2025-05-04 0.001529 0.001796 0.002146 0.002666 0.003481 0.004862 0.007971
2025-05-11 0.001489 0.001760 0.002120 0.002665 0.003541 0.005090 0.008896
2025-05-18 0.001479 0.001763 0.002147 0.002743 0.003739 0.005621 0.010954
2025-05-25 0.001440 0.001725 0.002113 0.002724 0.003769 0.005821 0.012212
2025-06-01 0.001389 0.001669 0.002055 0.002668 0.003736 0.005900 0.013223
2025-06-08 0.001372 0.001660 0.002063 0.002719 0.003904 0.006482 0.017176
2025-06-15 0.001351 0.001645 0.002063 0.002756 0.004053 0.007073 0.023017
2025-06-22 0.001315 0.001608 0.002025 0.002728 0.004069 0.007328 0.027892
2025-06-29 0.001271 0.001556 0.001965 0.002655 0.003987 0.007288 0.030155
2025-07-06 0.001239 0.001521 0.001928 0.002623 0.003983 0.007481 0.036775
2025-07-13 0.001184 0.001451 0.001835 0.002487 0.003752 0.006937 0.030729
2025-07-20 0.001164 0.001431 0.001819 0.002484 0.003803 0.007279 0.041183
2025-07-27 0.001160 0.001434 0.001838 0.002544 0.003996 0.008163 0.093862
2025-08-03 0.001142 0.001416 0.001823 0.002542 0.004053 0.008611 0.238239
2025-08-10 0.001140 0.001423 0.001847 0.002614 0.004290 0.009914 NaN